La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Simona Waltert v Ajla Tomljanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Simona Waltert (Local)
Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV +15.99%
Ventaja +3.76%
Kelly +4.92%
Crecimiento +0.786%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%27.07%27.44%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.354.2532.26%29.39%29.85%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 72.71%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%72.93%72.56%77.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.301.301.3681.97%76.76%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +15.99%E +3.76%K +4.92%G +0.786% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.44%E +1.65%K +2.22%G +0.143% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.34%E +0.625%K +0.852%G +0.020% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.84%E -7.94%K -41.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -1.12%E -0.821%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| ReBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| GTbets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 17:06 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:06 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 17:00 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 16:59 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 17:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Novig | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:15 |