مدرسة الاحتمالات

Simona Waltert v Ajla Tomljanovic

البداية: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Simona Waltert (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.29%3.66السعر العادل
EV +15.99%
الأفضلية +3.76%
Kelly +4.92%
النمو +0.786%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.30%27.07%27.44%30.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.403.354.2532.26%29.39%29.85%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ajla Tomljanovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.71%1.38السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.821%
Kelly -3.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.98%72.93%72.56%77.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.301.301.3681.97%76.76%76.92%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +15.99%E +3.76%K +4.92%G +0.786%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.44%E +1.65%K +2.22%G +0.143%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 17:15
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.34%E +0.625%K +0.852%G +0.020%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:15
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.84%E -7.94%K -41.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:15
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -1.12%E -0.821%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:01
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:10
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:05
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 17:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:13
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15