Szkoła Kursów

Simona Waltert v Ajla Tomljanovic

Początek: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

59 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Simona Waltert (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 27.29%3.66kurs godziwy
EV +15.99%
Przewaga +3.76%
Kelly +4.92%
Wzrost +0.786%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.30%27.07%27.44%30.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.403.354.2532.26%29.39%29.85%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ajla Tomljanovic (Goście)

Prognoza 72.71%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.12%
Przewaga -0.821%
Kelly -3.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.98%72.93%72.56%77.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.301.301.3681.97%76.76%76.92%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +15.99%E +3.76%K +4.92%G +0.786%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.44%E +1.65%K +2.22%G +0.143%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 17:15
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.34%E +0.625%K +0.852%G +0.020%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:15
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.84%E -7.94%K -41.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:15
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -1.12%E -0.821%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:01
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:10
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:05
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 17:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:13
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15