StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Simona Waltert v Ajla Tomljanovic

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Simona Waltert (Heim)

Prognose 27.29%3.66faire Quote
EV +15.99%
Vorteil +3.76%
Kelly +4.92%
Wachstum +0.786%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%27.07%27.44%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.403.354.2532.26%29.39%29.85%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ajla Tomljanovic (Auswärts)

Prognose 72.71%1.38faire Quote
EV -1.12%
Vorteil -0.821%
Kelly -3.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%72.93%72.56%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.301.301.3681.97%76.76%76.92%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Simona Waltert (Heim): 27.29%; Ajla Tomljanovic (Auswärts): 72.71%. Für Simona Waltert (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.66. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +15.99%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +15.99%E +3.76%K +4.92%G +0.786%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.44%E +1.65%K +2.22%G +0.143%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 17:15
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.34%E +0.625%K +0.852%G +0.020%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:15
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.84%E -7.94%K -41.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:15
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -1.12%E -0.821%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
ReBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:10
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 17:00
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:59
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:13
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15