Language:English
McCartney Kessler v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Prediction 58.77%1.70fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.69%58.71%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.09%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%41.31%41.29%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: McCartney Kessler (Local): 58.77%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 41.23%. For McCartney Kessler (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.88%E -0.791%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 18:57 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.08%E -6.59%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |