مدرسة الاحتمالات

McCartney Kessler v Magdalena Frech

البداية: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

McCartney Kessler (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.77%1.70السعر العادل
EV -1.85%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.69%58.71%59.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.09%62.50%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Magdalena Frech (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.23%2.43السعر العادل
EV -1.88%
الأفضلية -0.791%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.66%41.31%41.29%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.88%E -0.791%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 19:05
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 18:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:09
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 19:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 18:57
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:49
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:04
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.08%E -6.59%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-17 19:45
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-17 19:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%3.6%2026-03-17 19:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%9.2%2026-03-17 19:55