A Escola das Odds

McCartney Kessler v Magdalena Frech

Início: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Previsão 58.77%1.70odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.69%58.71%59.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.09%62.50%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Magdalena Frech (Visitante)

Previsão 41.23%2.43odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.791%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%41.31%41.29%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.88%E -0.791%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 19:05
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 18:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:09
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 19:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 18:57
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:49
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:04
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.08%E -6.59%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-17 19:45
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-17 19:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%3.6%2026-03-17 19:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%9.2%2026-03-17 19:55