La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
McCartney Kessler v Magdalena Frech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Predicción 58.77%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.69%58.71%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.09%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Magdalena Frech (Visitante)
Predicción 41.23%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.791%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%41.31%41.29%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.88%E -0.791%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| GTbets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 18:57 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.08%E -6.59%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 19:55 |