L’École des cotes

McCartney Kessler v Magdalena Frech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Prévision 58.77%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.69%58.71%59.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.09%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.23%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.66%41.31%41.29%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.302.3845.45%43.66%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.85%E -1.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:05
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.88%E -0.791%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 19:05
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 18:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.02%E -1.83%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:05
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.20%E -2.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.59%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.79%E -2.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:09
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.37%E -3.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.94%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:05
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.77%E -2.06%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 19:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:05
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 18:57
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:49
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.96%E -3.73%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.55%E -4.12%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.18%E -2.25%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:04
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.00%E -2.63%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.14%E -4.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.72%E -4.92%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.08%E -6.59%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-17 19:45
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-17 19:55
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%3.6%2026-03-17 19:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%9.2%2026-03-17 19:55