Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Carlota Martínez Círez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 88.38%1.13fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -17.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%88.34%88.30%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.1198.04%94.83%95.24%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carlota Martínez Círez (Visit)
Prediction 11.62%8.61fair odd
EV +51.03%
Edge +3.93%
Kelly +4.25%
Growth +2.17%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%11.66%11.70%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.509.179.3013.0018.18%10.90%10.75%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 88.38%; Carlota Martínez Círez (Visit): 11.62%. For Carlota Martínez Círez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.61. 38 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +51.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +51.03%E +3.93%K +4.25%G +2.17% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.25%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.75%EV +46.50%E +3.69%K +4.00%G +1.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +21.98%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.509% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 09:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV +19.08%E +1.86%K +2.06%G +0.394% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 09:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.28%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 10.22I 9.78%NM 9.72%EV +18.73%E +1.83%K +2.03%G +0.381% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 08:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.94%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.06%EV +8.04%E +0.865%K +0.969%G +0.078% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.65%E +0.189%K +0.213%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.94%E -0.867%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.37%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.63%EV -8.22%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -15.77%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -1.90%E -1.71%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV -18.91%E -2.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.58%E -3.20%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -36.10%E -6.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |