مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zeynep Sonmez v Carlota Martínez Círez

البداية: 2026-04-22 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (المضيف)

التنبؤ 88.38%1.13السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -17.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.33%88.34%88.30%92.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.051.051.1198.04%94.83%95.24%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Carlota Martínez Círez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.62%8.61السعر العادل
EV +51.03%
الأفضلية +3.93%
Kelly +4.25%
النمو +2.17%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.47%11.66%11.70%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.509.179.3013.0018.18%10.90%10.75%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +51.03%E +3.93%K +4.25%G +2.17%2.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 92.25%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%12.61I 7.93%NM 7.75%EV +46.50%E +3.69%K +4.00%G +1.86%2.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +21.98%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.509%4.8%2026-04-22 09:07
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV +19.08%E +1.86%K +2.06%G +0.394%5.9%2026-04-22 09:05
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 90.28%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%10.22I 9.78%NM 9.72%EV +18.73%E +1.83%K +2.03%G +0.381%0.7%2026-04-22 08:58
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:05
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:04
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 08:59
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%6.2%2026-04-22 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:09
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%8.6%2026-04-22 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.94%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.06%EV +8.04%E +0.865%K +0.969%G +0.078%6.9%2026-04-22 08:59
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-22 09:09
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:10
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:03
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.65%E +0.189%K +0.213%G +0.004%4.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 09:10
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:59
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.94%E -0.867%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.37%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.63%EV -8.22%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -15.77%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -1.90%E -1.71%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV -18.91%E -2.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.58%E -3.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -36.10%E -6.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%4.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52%7.5%2026-04-22 09:10