A Escola das Odds

Zeynep Sonmez v Carlota Martínez Círez

Início: 2026-04-22 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Previsão 88.38%1.13odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -17.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.33%88.34%88.30%92.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.051.051.1198.04%94.83%95.24%90.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carlota Martínez Círez (Visitante)

Previsão 11.62%8.61odd justa
EV +51.03%
Vantagem +3.93%
Kelly +4.25%
Crescimento +2.17%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.47%11.66%11.70%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.509.179.3013.0018.18%10.90%10.75%7.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +51.03%E +3.93%K +4.25%G +2.17%2.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 92.25%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%12.61I 7.93%NM 7.75%EV +46.50%E +3.69%K +4.00%G +1.86%2.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +21.98%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.509%4.8%2026-04-22 09:07
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV +19.08%E +1.86%K +2.06%G +0.394%5.9%2026-04-22 09:05
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 90.28%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%10.22I 9.78%NM 9.72%EV +18.73%E +1.83%K +2.03%G +0.381%0.7%2026-04-22 08:58
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:05
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:04
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 08:59
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%6.2%2026-04-22 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:09
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%8.6%2026-04-22 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.94%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.06%EV +8.04%E +0.865%K +0.969%G +0.078%6.9%2026-04-22 08:59
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-22 09:09
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:10
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:03
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.65%E +0.189%K +0.213%G +0.004%4.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 09:10
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:59
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.94%E -0.867%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.37%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.63%EV -8.22%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -15.77%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -1.90%E -1.71%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV -18.91%E -2.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.58%E -3.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -36.10%E -6.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%4.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52%7.5%2026-04-22 09:10