La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Carlota Martínez Círez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 88.38%1.13momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -17.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.33%88.34%88.30%92.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.051.051.1198.04%94.83%95.24%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carlota Martínez Círez (Visitante)
Predicción 11.62%8.61momio equitativo
EV +51.03%
Ventaja +3.93%
Kelly +4.25%
Crecimiento +2.17%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%11.66%11.70%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.509.179.3013.0018.18%10.90%10.75%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +51.03%E +3.93%K +4.25%G +2.17% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.25%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.75%EV +46.50%E +3.69%K +4.00%G +1.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +21.98%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.509% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 09:07 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV +19.08%E +1.86%K +2.06%G +0.394% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 09:05 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.28%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 10.22I 9.78%NM 9.72%EV +18.73%E +1.83%K +2.03%G +0.381% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 08:58 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:05 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| ReBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.94%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.06%EV +8.04%E +0.865%K +0.969%G +0.078% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 09:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.65%E +0.189%K +0.213%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Coral | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.94%E -0.867%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:59 |
| Fliff | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.37%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.63%EV -8.22%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -15.77%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -1.90%E -1.71%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV -18.91%E -2.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.58%E -3.20%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -36.10%E -6.56%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 09:10 |