L’École des cotes

Zeynep Sonmez v Carlota Martínez Círez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 88.38%1.13cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -17.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.33%88.34%88.30%92.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.1198.04%94.83%95.24%90.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carlota Martínez Círez (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.62%8.61cote équitable
EV +51.03%
Avantage +3.93%
Kelly +4.25%
Croissance +2.17%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%11.66%11.70%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.509.179.3013.0018.18%10.90%10.75%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +51.03%E +3.93%K +4.25%G +2.17%2.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 92.25%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%12.61I 7.93%NM 7.75%EV +46.50%E +3.69%K +4.00%G +1.86%2.3%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +27.79%E +2.53%K +2.78%G +0.772%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +21.98%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.509%4.8%2026-04-22 09:07
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV +19.08%E +1.86%K +2.06%G +0.394%5.9%2026-04-22 09:05
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 90.28%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%10.22I 9.78%NM 9.72%EV +18.73%E +1.83%K +2.03%G +0.381%0.7%2026-04-22 08:58
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:05
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:04
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 09:10
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%5.2%2026-04-22 08:59
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%6.2%2026-04-22 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +16.17%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.291%7.1%2026-04-22 09:00
LowVig.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +15.59%E +1.57%K +1.74%G +0.272%5.3%2026-04-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%6.7%2026-04-22 09:09
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:09
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.97%E -8.70%K -298.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%7.6%2026-04-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.37%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%8.6%2026-04-22 09:09
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.94%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.06%EV +8.04%E +0.865%K +0.969%G +0.078%6.9%2026-04-22 08:59
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-22 09:09
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:10
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.86%K -143.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-22 09:03
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.56%E +0.506%K +0.570%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.65%E +0.189%K +0.213%G +0.004%4.9%2026-04-22 09:09
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 09:10
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -1.25%E -0.147%K -0.167%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:59
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.16%E -0.504%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.94%E -0.867%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:59
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.06%E -0.883%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:59
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 88.37%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.05%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.63%EV -8.22%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 09:09
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.87%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.43%E -5.08%K -77.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -15.77%E -2.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.68%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 09:09
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -1.90%E -1.71%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV -18.91%E -2.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.58%E -3.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 09:09
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -36.10%E -6.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-04-22 09:10
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%4.3%2026-04-22 09:10
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 89.48%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.52%7.5%2026-04-22 09:10