Language:English
Paula Badosa v Julia Grabher
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Paula Badosa (Local)
Prediction 82.34%1.21fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -15.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.67%82.32%82.34%83.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.58%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Julia Grabher (Visit)
Prediction 17.66%5.66fair odd
EV +5.97%
Edge +0.994%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.071%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%17.68%17.66%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.235.206.0020.83%19.13%19.23%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paula Badosa (Local): 82.34%; Julia Grabher (Visit): 17.66%. For Julia Grabher (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.97%E +0.994%K +1.19%G +0.071% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.43%E +0.420%K +0.507%G +0.012% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.216%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.668%E +0.117%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.60%E -7.75%K -78.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 12:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 12:17 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |