La scuola delle quote

Paula Badosa v Julia Grabher

Inizio: 2026-04-21 12:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Paula Badosa (Casa)

Previsione 82.34%1.21quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -2.41%
Kelly -15.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
80.67%82.32%82.34%83.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.58%86.21%84.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Julia Grabher (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.66%5.66quota equa
EV +5.97%
Vantaggio +0.994%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.20%17.68%17.66%19.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.235.206.0020.83%19.13%19.23%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.97%E +0.994%K +1.19%G +0.071%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.43%E +0.420%K +0.507%G +0.012%5.0%2026-04-21 12:20
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.216%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-21 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.668%E +0.117%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-21 12:19
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:19
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.60%E -7.75%K -78.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:15
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 12:20
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:19
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:17
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%4.3%2026-04-21 12:20