مدرسة الاحتمالات

Paula Badosa v Julia Grabher

البداية: 2026-04-21 12:25 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Paula Badosa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 82.34%1.21السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -2.41%
Kelly -15.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.67%82.32%82.34%83.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.58%86.21%84.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Julia Grabher (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.66%5.66السعر العادل
EV +5.97%
الأفضلية +0.994%
Kelly +1.19%
النمو +0.071%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.20%17.68%17.66%19.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.235.206.0020.83%19.13%19.23%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.97%E +0.994%K +1.19%G +0.071%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.43%E +0.420%K +0.507%G +0.012%5.0%2026-04-21 12:20
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.216%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-21 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.668%E +0.117%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-21 12:19
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:19
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.60%E -7.75%K -78.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:15
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 12:20
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:19
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:17
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 12:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%4.3%2026-04-21 12:20