The School of Odds

Paula Badosa v Julia Grabher

Matchstart: 2026-04-21 12:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Paula Badosa (Hemma)

Prognos 82.34%1.21rättvist odds
EV -2.84%
Fördel -2.41%
Kelly -15.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.67%82.32%82.34%83.80%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.58%86.21%84.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Julia Grabher (Borta)

Prognos 17.66%5.66rättvist odds
EV +5.97%
Fördel +0.994%
Kelly +1.19%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.20%17.68%17.66%19.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.805.235.206.0020.83%19.13%19.23%16.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.97%E +0.994%K +1.19%G +0.071%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.43%E +0.420%K +0.507%G +0.012%5.0%2026-04-21 12:20
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.216%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-21 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.668%E +0.117%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-21 12:19
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:19
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.60%E -7.75%K -78.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:15
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 12:20
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:19
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:17
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%4.3%2026-04-21 12:20