Школа коэффициентов

Paula Badosa v Julia Grabher

Начало: 2026-04-21 12:25 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Paula Badosa (Хозяева)

Прогноз 82.34%1.21справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.84%
Преимущество -2.41%
Kelly -15.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.67%82.32%82.34%83.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.151.161.1890.09%86.58%86.21%84.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Julia Grabher (Гости)

Прогноз 17.66%5.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.97%
Преимущество +0.994%
Kelly +1.19%
Рост +0.071%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.20%17.68%17.66%19.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.235.206.0020.83%19.13%19.23%16.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +5.97%E +0.994%K +1.19%G +0.071%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +2.43%E +0.420%K +0.507%G +0.012%5.0%2026-04-21 12:20
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV +1.02%E +0.179%K +0.216%G +0.002%5.2%2026-04-21 12:20
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +0.668%E +0.117%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-21 12:19
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:19
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.78%E -6.95%K -64.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.60%E -7.75%K -78.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -2.86%E -0.521%K -0.636%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -4.10%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:20
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -4.63%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:15
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 12:20
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.28%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:19
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.16%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -9.93%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -10.81%E -2.14%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.84%E -2.41%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.66%E -3.13%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 12:14
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:14
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.13%E -5.38%K -43.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.49%E -3.87%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.96%E -6.16%K -53.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:17
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.31%E -4.62%K -35.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.23%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-04-21 12:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%4.3%2026-04-21 12:20