Language:English
Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 80.71%1.24fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -11.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.63%80.69%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.60%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 19.29%5.19fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.37%19.31%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.784.705.2522.22%20.93%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 80.71%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 19.29%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.18%E -6.24%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.287%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -1.26%E -0.245%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.64%E -0.322%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -2.61%E -0.516%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.99%E -7.01%K -57.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.34%E -1.93%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.32%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |