La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 80.71%1.24momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -11.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%80.63%80.69%82.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.60%84.75%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shuai Zhang (Visitante)
Predicción 19.29%5.19momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.238%
Kelly +0.294%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.37%19.31%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.784.705.2522.22%20.93%21.28%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.18%E -6.24%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.287%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -1.26%E -0.245%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.64%E -0.322%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -2.61%E -0.516%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.99%E -7.01%K -57.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| GTbets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.34%E -1.93%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| ReBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.32%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:33 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |