L’École des cotes

Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 80.71%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -11.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%80.63%80.69%82.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.60%84.75%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shuai Zhang (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.29%5.19cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.294%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%19.37%19.31%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.784.705.2522.22%20.93%21.28%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%5.3%2026-04-23 16:19
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.18%E -6.24%K -47.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.287%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -1.26%E -0.245%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:04
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.64%E -0.322%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -2.61%E -0.516%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:40
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:19
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:29
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.99%E -7.01%K -57.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:20
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.34%E -1.93%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:20
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:05
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:40
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:04
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.32%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:35
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:00
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:33
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-04-24 01:20