Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang

Inizio: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 80.71%1.24quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -11.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.95%80.63%80.69%82.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.60%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.29%5.19quota equa
EV +1.25%
Vantaggio +0.238%
Kelly +0.294%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.97%19.37%19.31%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.784.705.2522.22%20.93%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Madison Keys (Casa): 80.71%; Shuai Zhang (Trasferta): 19.29%. Per Shuai Zhang (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.19. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.25%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%5.3%2026-04-23 16:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.18%E -6.24%K -47.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.287%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -1.26%E -0.245%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.64%E -0.322%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -2.61%E -0.516%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:40
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:29
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.99%E -7.01%K -57.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:20
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.34%E -1.93%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:09
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Casumo🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:40
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:04
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.32%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:39
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:33
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-04-24 01:20