مدرسة الاحتمالات

Madison Keys v Shuai Zhang

البداية: 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Madison Keys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.71%1.24السعر العادل
EV -2.34%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -11.12%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.95%80.63%80.69%82.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.60%84.75%82.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shuai Zhang (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.29%5.19السعر العادل
EV +1.25%
الأفضلية +0.238%
Kelly +0.294%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.97%19.37%19.31%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.784.705.2522.22%20.93%21.28%19.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%5.3%2026-04-23 16:19
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.18%E -6.24%K -47.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.25%E +0.238%K +0.294%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.287%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.677%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV -1.26%E -0.245%K -0.305%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:04
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.64%E -0.322%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -2.61%E -0.516%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:40
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:29
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:19
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:29
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.99%E -7.01%K -57.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:20
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.10%EV -2.34%E -1.93%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.90%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.43%E -1.55%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:20
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:45
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.39%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:05
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:40
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.36%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:04
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.32%E -2.22%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:35
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:45
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.28%E -2.45%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:35
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 10:39
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.14%E -2.62%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:00
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.95%E -3.32%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.76%E -4.03%K -26.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:33
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.76%K -32.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:45
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.37%E -5.49%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.21%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-04-24 01:20