Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Sinja Kraus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 49.52%2.02fair odd
EV +11.43%
Edge +5.08%
Kelly +9.14%
Growth +1.04%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%48.83%49.72%52.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.882.2555.56%52.57%53.19%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sinja Kraus (Visit)
Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.86%
Growth +0.085%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.01%51.17%50.28%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.861.872.0462.50%53.77%53.48%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 49.52%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 50.48%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +11.43%E +5.08%K +9.14%G +1.04% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -19.24%E -12.02%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +6.47%E +3.01%K +5.63%G +0.365% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.68%E -8.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -14.19%E -8.35%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.67%E -7.33%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.42%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:26 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.96%E +0.972%K +1.93%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +2.97%E +1.46%K +2.86%G +0.085% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.954%E +0.477%K +0.954%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |