مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Pliskova v Sinja Kraus

البداية: 2026-04-22 15:34 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.52%2.02السعر العادل
EV +11.43%
الأفضلية +5.08%
Kelly +9.14%
النمو +1.04%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.56%48.83%49.72%52.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.901.882.2555.56%52.57%53.19%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sinja Kraus (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.48%1.98السعر العادل
EV +2.97%
الأفضلية +1.46%
Kelly +2.86%
النمو +0.085%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.01%51.17%50.28%58.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.861.872.0462.50%53.77%53.48%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +11.43%E +5.08%K +9.14%G +1.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -19.24%E -12.02%K -32.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +6.47%E +3.01%K +5.63%G +0.365%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.68%E -8.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -14.19%E -8.35%K -20.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 15:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.67%E -7.33%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.42%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:24
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:26
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 15:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.96%E +0.972%K +1.93%G +0.038%4.5%2026-04-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 15:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +2.97%E +1.46%K +2.86%G +0.085%4.3%2026-04-22 15:09
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:19
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.954%E +0.477%K +0.954%G +0.009%5.6%2026-04-22 15:19
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%5.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30