La scuola delle quote

Karolina Pliskova v Sinja Kraus

Inizio: 2026-04-22 15:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Casa)

Previsione 49.52%2.02quota equa
EV +11.43%
Vantaggio +5.08%
Kelly +9.14%
Crescita +1.04%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.56%48.83%49.72%52.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.901.882.2555.56%52.57%53.19%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sinja Kraus (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.48%1.98quota equa
EV +2.97%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +2.86%
Crescita +0.085%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.01%51.17%50.28%58.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.861.872.0462.50%53.77%53.48%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +11.43%E +5.08%K +9.14%G +1.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -19.24%E -12.02%K -32.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +6.47%E +3.01%K +5.63%G +0.365%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.68%E -8.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -14.19%E -8.35%K -20.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 15:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.67%E -7.33%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.42%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:24
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:26
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 15:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.96%E +0.972%K +1.93%G +0.038%4.5%2026-04-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 15:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +2.97%E +1.46%K +2.86%G +0.085%4.3%2026-04-22 15:09
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:19
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.954%E +0.477%K +0.954%G +0.009%5.6%2026-04-22 15:19
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%5.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30