L’École des cotes

Karolina Pliskova v Sinja Kraus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 15:34 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Pliskova (Local)

Prévision 49.52%2.02cote équitable
EV +11.43%
Avantage +5.08%
Kelly +9.14%
Croissance +1.04%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%48.83%49.72%52.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.882.2555.56%52.57%53.19%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sinja Kraus (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.48%1.98cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +2.86%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.01%51.17%50.28%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.861.872.0462.50%53.77%53.48%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +11.43%E +5.08%K +9.14%G +1.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -19.24%E -12.02%K -32.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +6.47%E +3.01%K +5.63%G +0.365%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.68%E -8.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -14.19%E -8.35%K -20.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 15:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 15:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.67%E -7.33%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.42%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:30
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 15:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 15:30
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:24
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 15:10
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 15:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 15:26
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 15:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.96%E +0.972%K +1.93%G +0.038%4.5%2026-04-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 15:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +2.97%E +1.46%K +2.86%G +0.085%4.3%2026-04-22 15:09
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 15:19
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.954%E +0.477%K +0.954%G +0.009%5.6%2026-04-22 15:19
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-22 15:30
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-22 15:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%5.8%2026-04-22 15:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-04-22 15:30