La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Pliskova v Sinja Kraus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Predicción 49.52%2.02momio equitativo
EV +11.43%
Ventaja +5.08%
Kelly +9.14%
Crecimiento +1.04%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%48.83%49.72%52.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.882.2555.56%52.57%53.19%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sinja Kraus (Visitante)
Predicción 50.48%1.98momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +2.86%
Crecimiento +0.085%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.01%51.17%50.28%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.861.872.0462.50%53.77%53.48%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +11.43%E +5.08%K +9.14%G +1.04% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -19.24%E -12.02%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +6.47%E +3.01%K +5.63%G +0.365% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -13.68%E -8.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -14.19%E -8.35%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.00%E +1.90%K +3.63%G +0.145% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +1.52%E +0.742%K +1.45%G +0.022% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.70%E -9.40%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.954%E -0.477%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.67%E -7.33%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.43%E -1.76%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -3.93%E -2.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.42%E -2.29%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.66%E -6.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.60%E -2.43%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.41%E -2.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.89%E -4.24%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.58%E -1.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -0.055%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 15:26 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +1.96%E +0.972%K +1.93%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -1.07%E -0.543%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.87%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +2.97%E +1.46%K +2.86%G +0.085% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -0.560%E -0.284%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -10.36%E -5.73%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.65%E -5.39%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.954%E +0.477%K +0.954%G +0.009% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:19 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.86%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.57%E -0.805%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Novig | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |