StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Peyton Stearns

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 13:23 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 91.24%1.10rättvist odds
EV -4.20%
Fördel -4.00%
Kelly -83.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
88.90%91.29%91.18%93.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.58%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Borta)

Prognos 8.76%11.42rättvist odds
EV +40.16%
Fördel +2.51%
Kelly +2.68%
Tillväxt +1.08%

med antagandet om högsta odds 16.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.05%8.71%8.82%11.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.2511.2010.5016.0012.12%8.93%9.52%6.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 91.24%; Peyton Stearns (Borta): 8.76%. För Peyton Stearns (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.42. 21 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 16.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +40.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +40.16%E +2.51%K +2.68%G +1.08%3.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%3.8%2026-04-23 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%4.7%2026-04-23 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.18%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.82%EV +24.39%E +1.72%K +1.85%G +0.451%3.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.82%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.58I 7.36%NM 7.18%EV +18.96%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.286%2.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +18.26%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.267%3.6%2026-04-23 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%2.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:19
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.00%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%4.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +9.50%E +0.760%K +0.826%G +0.078%4.2%2026-04-23 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:18
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%4.5%2026-04-23 13:09
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV +3.37%E +0.285%K +0.312%G +0.011%6.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%5.8%2026-04-23 13:07
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:17
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.21%E -0.996%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:16
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.54%E -3.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -27.73%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 92.13%12.05I 8.30%NM 7.87%5.4%2026-04-23 13:20