La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Peyton Stearns
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 91.24%1.10momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -4.00%
Kelly -83.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.90%91.29%91.18%93.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.58%96.15%95.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Peyton Stearns (Visitante)
Predicción 8.76%11.42momio equitativo
EV +40.16%
Ventaja +2.51%
Kelly +2.68%
Crecimiento +1.08%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.05%8.71%8.82%11.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.2511.2010.5016.0012.12%8.93%9.52%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +40.16%E +2.51%K +2.68%G +1.08% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.18%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.82%EV +24.39%E +1.72%K +1.85%G +0.451% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.82%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 13.58I 7.36%NM 7.18%EV +18.96%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.286% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +18.26%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.267% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Coral | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Bovada | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.00%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +9.50%E +0.760%K +0.826%G +0.078% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| ReBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 888sport | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| GTbets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV +3.37%E +0.285%K +0.312%G +0.011% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 13:07 |
| Coolbet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Fanatics | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Neds | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.21%E -0.996%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 13:16 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| William Hill | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Caesars | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Everygame | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.54%E -3.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -27.73%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.13% | 12.05I 8.30%NM 7.87% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |