StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Peyton Stearns

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-23 13:23 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 91.24%1.10faire Quote
EV -4.20%
Vorteil -4.00%
Kelly -83.96%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.90%91.29%91.18%93.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.58%96.15%95.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Auswärts)

Prognose 8.76%11.42faire Quote
EV +40.16%
Vorteil +2.51%
Kelly +2.68%
Wachstum +1.08%

bei einer Höchstquote von 16.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
6.05%8.71%8.82%11.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.2511.2010.5016.0012.12%8.93%9.52%6.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 91.24%; Peyton Stearns (Auswärts): 8.76%. Für Peyton Stearns (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 11.42. 21 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 16.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +40.16%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +40.16%E +2.51%K +2.68%G +1.08%3.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%3.8%2026-04-23 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%4.7%2026-04-23 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.18%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.82%EV +24.39%E +1.72%K +1.85%G +0.451%3.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.82%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.58I 7.36%NM 7.18%EV +18.96%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.286%2.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +18.26%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.267%3.6%2026-04-23 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%2.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:19
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.00%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%4.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +9.50%E +0.760%K +0.826%G +0.078%4.2%2026-04-23 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:18
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%4.5%2026-04-23 13:09
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV +3.37%E +0.285%K +0.312%G +0.011%6.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%5.8%2026-04-23 13:07
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:17
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.21%E -0.996%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:16
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.54%E -3.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -27.73%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 92.13%12.05I 8.30%NM 7.87%5.4%2026-04-23 13:20