A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Peyton Stearns

Início: 2026-04-23 13:23 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 91.24%1.10odd justa
EV -4.20%
Vantagem -4.00%
Kelly -83.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.90%91.29%91.18%93.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.58%96.15%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Peyton Stearns (Visitante)

Previsão 8.76%11.42odd justa
EV +40.16%
Vantagem +2.51%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescimento +1.08%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.05%8.71%8.82%11.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.2511.2010.5016.0012.12%8.93%9.52%6.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +40.16%E +2.51%K +2.68%G +1.08%3.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%3.8%2026-04-23 13:20
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704%4.7%2026-04-23 13:19
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.18%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.82%EV +24.39%E +1.72%K +1.85%G +0.451%3.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 92.82%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.58I 7.36%NM 7.18%EV +18.96%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.286%2.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +18.26%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.267%3.6%2026-04-23 13:19
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%2.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161%4.8%2026-04-23 13:19
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.00%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142%4.8%2026-04-23 13:14
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +9.50%E +0.760%K +0.826%G +0.078%4.2%2026-04-23 13:19
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:20
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-23 13:18
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%4.5%2026-04-23 13:09
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:19
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024%6.4%2026-04-23 13:20
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV +3.37%E +0.285%K +0.312%G +0.011%6.5%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-23 13:09
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001%5.8%2026-04-23 13:07
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 13:20
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:17
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:20
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 13:19
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:19
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:17
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.21%E -0.996%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 13:16
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:15
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:19
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:19
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 13:14
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.54%E -3.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:19
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -27.73%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-04-23 13:20
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-04-23 13:20
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 92.13%12.05I 8.30%NM 7.87%5.4%2026-04-23 13:20