Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Peyton Stearns
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 91.24%1.10cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -4.00%
Kelly -83.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.90%91.29%91.18%93.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.58%96.15%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.76%11.42cote équitable
EV +40.16%
Avantage +2.51%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +1.08%
avec la cote maximale 16.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.05%8.71%8.82%11.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.2511.2010.5016.0012.12%8.93%9.52%6.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 91.24% ; Peyton Stearns (Visiteur) : 8.76%. Pour Peyton Stearns (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.42. 21 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 16.00, soit une espérance positive de +40.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +40.16%E +2.51%K +2.68%G +1.08% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +31.40%E +2.09%K +2.24%G +0.704% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.18%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.82%EV +24.39%E +1.72%K +1.85%G +0.451% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.82%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 13.58I 7.36%NM 7.18%EV +18.96%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.286% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +18.26%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.267% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.88%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.161% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV +13.00%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.142% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +9.50%E +0.760%K +0.826%G +0.078% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV +6.17%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.12%E +0.427%K +0.465%G +0.024% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV +3.37%E +0.285%K +0.312%G +0.011% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.740%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 13:07 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.64%E -0.331%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.94%E -6.80%K -346.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.02%E -0.764%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 13:17 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.21%E -0.996%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 13:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.20%E -4.00%K -83.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -12.40%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -14.59%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -21.16%E -2.35%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.11%E -4.91%K -127.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.54%E -3.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.02%E -5.85%K -200.76%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -27.73%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.13% | 12.05I 8.30%NM 7.87% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 13:20 |