Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 14:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prediction 38.75%2.58fair odd
EV +16.65%
Edge +5.53%
Kelly +8.28%
Growth +1.38%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.44%38.91%38.93%44.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.373.0147.62%42.07%42.28%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tereza Valentova (Visit)

Prediction 61.25%1.63fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +2.77%
Kelly +6.66%
Growth +0.315%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.96%61.09%61.07%68.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.561.541.7172.46%64.17%64.94%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 38.75%; Tereza Valentova (Visit): 61.25%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +16.65%E +5.53%K +8.28%G +1.38%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -15.48%E -11.22%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.58%E +2.39%K +3.76%G +0.247%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.91%E -4.54%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.28%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 14:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 14:11
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.62%E -1.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:11
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -13.03%E -9.18%K -31.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.70%E -4.16%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:10
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.48%E -4.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:59
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.80%E -5.69%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV +4.73%E +2.77%K +6.66%G +0.315%3.1%2026-05-06 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:09
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%5.2%2026-05-06 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.09%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -14.35%E -6.49%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.67%E +1.00%K +2.53%G +0.042%5.5%2026-05-06 13:59
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 13:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 14:07
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.442%E +0.270%K +0.691%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 14:03
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -16.29%E -7.54%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +4.12%E +2.42%K +5.88%G +0.242%5.1%2026-05-06 14:07
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.89%E +1.72%K +4.25%G +0.123%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%7.1%2026-05-06 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -0.170%E -0.105%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%6.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%9.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 62.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 37.64%57.2%2026-05-06 14:10