مدرسة الاحتمالات

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

البداية: 2026-05-06 14:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Yulia Putintseva (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.75%2.58السعر العادل
EV +16.65%
الأفضلية +5.53%
Kelly +8.28%
النمو +1.38%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.44%38.91%38.93%44.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.382.373.0147.62%42.07%42.28%33.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tereza Valentova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.25%1.63السعر العادل
EV +4.73%
الأفضلية +2.77%
Kelly +6.66%
النمو +0.315%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.96%61.09%61.07%68.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.561.541.7172.46%64.17%64.94%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +16.65%E +5.53%K +8.28%G +1.38%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -15.48%E -11.22%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.58%E +2.39%K +3.76%G +0.247%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.91%E -4.54%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.28%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 14:10
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 14:11
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.62%E -1.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:11
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -13.03%E -9.18%K -31.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.70%E -4.16%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:10
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.48%E -4.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:59
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.80%E -5.69%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV +4.73%E +2.77%K +6.66%G +0.315%3.1%2026-05-06 14:10
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:06
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:09
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%5.2%2026-05-06 14:04
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.09%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -14.35%E -6.49%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.67%E +1.00%K +2.53%G +0.042%5.5%2026-05-06 13:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 13:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 14:07
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.442%E +0.270%K +0.691%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 14:03
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -16.29%E -7.54%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +4.12%E +2.42%K +5.88%G +0.242%5.1%2026-05-06 14:07
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.89%E +1.72%K +4.25%G +0.123%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%7.1%2026-05-06 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:04
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -0.170%E -0.105%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 14:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%6.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%9.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 62.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 37.64%57.2%2026-05-06 14:10