L’École des cotes

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 14:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 38.75%2.58cote équitable
EV +16.65%
Avantage +5.53%
Kelly +8.28%
Croissance +1.38%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.44%38.91%38.93%44.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.382.373.0147.62%42.07%42.28%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tereza Valentova (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.25%1.63cote équitable
EV +4.73%
Avantage +2.77%
Kelly +6.66%
Croissance +0.315%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.96%61.09%61.07%68.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.561.541.7172.46%64.17%64.94%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +16.65%E +5.53%K +8.28%G +1.38%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -15.48%E -11.22%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.58%E +2.39%K +3.76%G +0.247%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.91%E -4.54%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.28%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 14:10
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 14:11
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.62%E -1.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:11
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -13.03%E -9.18%K -31.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.70%E -4.16%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:10
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.48%E -4.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:59
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.80%E -5.69%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV +4.73%E +2.77%K +6.66%G +0.315%3.1%2026-05-06 14:10
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:06
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:09
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%5.2%2026-05-06 14:04
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.09%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -14.35%E -6.49%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.67%E +1.00%K +2.53%G +0.042%5.5%2026-05-06 13:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 13:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 14:07
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.442%E +0.270%K +0.691%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 14:03
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -16.29%E -7.54%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +4.12%E +2.42%K +5.88%G +0.242%5.1%2026-05-06 14:07
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.89%E +1.72%K +4.25%G +0.123%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%7.1%2026-05-06 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:04
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -0.170%E -0.105%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%6.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%9.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 62.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 37.64%57.2%2026-05-06 14:10