Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

Início: 2026-05-06 14:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Previsão 38.75%2.58odd justa
EV +16.65%
Vantagem +5.53%
Kelly +8.28%
Crescimento +1.38%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.44%38.91%38.93%44.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.382.373.0147.62%42.07%42.28%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Previsão 61.25%1.63odd justa
EV +4.73%
Vantagem +2.77%
Kelly +6.66%
Crescimento +0.315%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.96%61.09%61.07%68.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.561.541.7172.46%64.17%64.94%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 38.75%; Tereza Valentova (Visitante): 61.25%. Para Yulia Putintseva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.58. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +16.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +16.65%E +5.53%K +8.28%G +1.38%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -15.48%E -11.22%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.58%E +2.39%K +3.76%G +0.247%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.91%E -4.54%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 14:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.28%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 14:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-06 14:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 14:11
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.62%E -1.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:11
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -13.03%E -9.18%K -31.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.70%E -4.16%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:10
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:10
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.48%E -4.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:59
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.80%E -5.69%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV +4.73%E +2.77%K +6.66%G +0.315%3.1%2026-05-06 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178%3.8%2026-05-06 14:09
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%5.2%2026-05-06 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.09%K -11.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -14.35%E -6.49%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.67%E +1.00%K +2.53%G +0.042%5.5%2026-05-06 13:59
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 13:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078%5.3%2026-05-06 14:07
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.442%E +0.270%K +0.691%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 14:03
SportsBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -16.29%E -7.54%K -14.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +4.12%E +2.42%K +5.88%G +0.242%5.1%2026-05-06 14:07
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.89%E +1.72%K +4.25%G +0.123%6.0%2026-05-06 14:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%7.1%2026-05-06 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:03
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017%8.2%2026-05-06 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -0.170%E -0.105%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:10
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%1.4%2026-05-06 14:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%6.9%2026-05-06 14:10
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%9.6%2026-05-06 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 62.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 37.64%57.2%2026-05-06 14:10