La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yulia Putintseva (Local)
Predicción 38.75%2.58momio equitativo
EV +16.65%
Ventaja +5.53%
Kelly +8.28%
Crecimiento +1.38%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.44%38.91%38.93%44.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.382.373.0147.62%42.07%42.28%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tereza Valentova (Visitante)
Predicción 61.25%1.63momio equitativo
EV +4.73%
Ventaja +2.77%
Kelly +6.66%
Crecimiento +0.315%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.96%61.09%61.07%68.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.561.541.7172.46%64.17%64.94%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV +16.65%E +5.53%K +8.28%G +1.38% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -15.48%E -11.22%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.58%E +2.39%K +3.76%G +0.247% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.763%E +0.293%K +0.477%G +0.004% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.91%E -4.54%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.18%E -0.461%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.97%E -6.78%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.11%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.28%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.36%E -6.32%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.06%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -11.19%E -7.72%K -24.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.99%E -2.91%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.76%E -3.26%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.62%E -1.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.07%E -3.27%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 14:11 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.29%E -4.11%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -8.93%E -3.80%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -13.03%E -9.18%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.70%E -4.16%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.46%E -2.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.09%E -4.35%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.68%E -3.69%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.48%E -4.54%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:59 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.86%E -4.72%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.52%E -4.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.80%E -5.69%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.783%E -0.483%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV +4.73%E +2.77%K +6.66%G +0.315% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 14:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +3.50%E +2.07%K +5.08%G +0.178% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -13.19%E -5.89%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 14:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.09%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.13%E -5.42%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -14.35%E -6.49%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV +1.67%E +1.00%K +2.53%G +0.042% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +2.28%E +1.36%K +3.40%G +0.078% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 14:07 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -14.74%E -6.70%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV +0.442%E +0.270%K +0.691%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 14:03 |
| SportsBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -16.29%E -7.54%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +4.12%E +2.42%K +5.88%G +0.242% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 14:07 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +2.89%E +1.72%K +4.25%G +0.123% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -16.68%E -7.76%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 14:03 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 14:03 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV +1.05%E +0.639%K +1.62%G +0.017% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -18.61%E -8.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -0.170%E -0.105%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.74% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26% | 9.6% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 62.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 37.64% | 57.2% | 2026-05-06 14:10 |