Школа коэффициентов

Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek

Начало: 2026-05-11 17:55 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 26.63%3.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.930%
Преимущество +0.245%
Kelly +0.333%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.79

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.45%26.77%26.65%28.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.543.583.7930.77%28.27%27.97%26.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Iga Swiatek (Гости)

Прогноз 73.37%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.42%
Преимущество -1.82%
Kelly -7.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.27%73.23%73.35%74.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.37%77.52%75.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.930%E +0.245%K +0.333%G +0.003%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 17:39
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 17:38
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.47%E -0.396%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:44
SportsBet3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.53%E -0.692%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -3.60%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:40
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:44
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:39
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.55%E -6.00%K -29.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 17:39
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.29%E -6.63%K -33.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 17:39
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:39
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:44
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:44
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:40
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 17:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 17:45
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:40
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 17:40
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 17:39
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 17:39
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 17:39
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 17:39
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 17:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:40
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:39
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:40
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:39
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Novig3.79I 26.39%NM 25.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.02%1.6%2026-05-11 17:44
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-05-11 17:45