La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Naomi Osaka (Casa)
Previsione 26.63%3.76quota equa
EV +0.930%
Vantaggio +0.245%
Kelly +0.333%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.45%26.77%26.65%28.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.543.583.7930.77%28.27%27.97%26.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)
Previsione 73.37%1.36quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -7.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.27%73.23%73.35%74.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.37%77.52%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.930%E +0.245%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.47%E -0.396%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.53%E -0.692%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -3.60%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.55%E -6.00%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.29%E -6.63%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Novig | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.02% | 1.6% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |