L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV +0.930%
Avantage +0.245%
Kelly +0.333%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.45%26.77%26.65%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.543.583.7930.77%28.27%27.97%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.37%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -7.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.27%73.23%73.35%74.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.37%77.52%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.930%E +0.245%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.47%E -0.396%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.53%E -0.692%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -3.60%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.55%E -6.00%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.29%E -6.63%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Novig | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.02% | 1.6% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |