مدرسة الاحتمالات

Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-05-11 17:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Naomi Osaka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.63%3.76السعر العادل
EV +0.930%
الأفضلية +0.245%
Kelly +0.333%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.45%26.77%26.65%28.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.543.583.7930.77%28.27%27.97%26.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 73.37%1.36السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -1.82%
Kelly -7.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.27%73.23%73.35%74.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.37%77.52%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.930%E +0.245%K +0.333%G +0.003%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 17:39
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 17:38
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.47%E -0.396%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 17:44
SportsBet3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.53%E -0.692%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:45
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -3.60%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:40
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:39
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:44
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:39
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.55%E -6.00%K -29.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 17:39
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.29%E -6.63%K -33.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 17:39
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:39
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 17:44
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:44
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:44
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:40
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 17:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:44
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 17:45
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 17:40
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 17:40
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 17:39
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 17:39
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 17:39
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 17:39
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 17:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 17:40
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:39
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 17:40
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 17:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:39
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-11 17:40
Novig3.79I 26.39%NM 25.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.02%1.6%2026-05-11 17:44
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-05-11 17:45