La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Naomi Osaka v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Naomi Osaka (Local)
Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV +0.930%
Ventaja +0.245%
Kelly +0.333%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.45%26.77%26.65%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.543.583.7930.77%28.27%27.97%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 73.37%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -7.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%73.23%73.35%74.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.37%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV +0.930%E +0.245%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -0.135%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.47%E -0.396%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.53%E -0.692%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.80%E -0.767%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -3.60%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| ReBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.55%E -6.00%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.13%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.29%E -6.63%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.46%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.82%E -5.37%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |
| Fliff | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.79%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.15%E -2.39%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.42%E -1.82%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.62%E -3.55%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.09%E -4.76%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.45%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.35%E -4.15%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 17:40 |
| Novig | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.02% | 1.6% | 2026-05-11 17:44 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-05-11 17:45 |