默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

McCartney Kessler v Lucia Bronzetti

开赛时间: 2026-05-05 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

McCartney Kessler (主队)

预测 62.39%1.60公平赔率
EV -0.806%
优势 -0.507%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
60.84%62.49%62.19%64.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.74%65.36%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lucia Bronzetti (客队)

预测 37.61%2.66公平赔率
EV +1.56%
优势 +0.577%
Kelly +0.916%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.71%37.51%37.81%39.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.80%40.00%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:McCartney Kessler (主队):62.39%;Lucia Bronzetti (客队):37.61%。 对于“Lucia Bronzetti (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.66。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.70,对应+1.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.56%E +0.577%K +0.916%G +0.014%3.7%2026-05-05 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.805%E +0.300%K +0.479%G +0.004%2.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.58%E -0.996%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:24
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -3.71%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 11:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 01:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 12:00
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.47%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 11:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-05 12:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25