La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
McCartney Kessler v Lucia Bronzetti
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Predicción 62.39%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.806%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.84%62.49%62.19%64.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.74%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lucia Bronzetti (Visitante)
Predicción 37.61%2.66momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.577%
Kelly +0.916%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%37.51%37.81%39.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.80%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.56%E +0.577%K +0.916%G +0.014% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 08:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.805%E +0.300%K +0.479%G +0.004% | 2.7% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.58%E -0.996%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 12:24 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -3.71%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 11:30 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.47%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 11:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 12:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |