A Escola das Odds

McCartney Kessler v Lucia Bronzetti

Início: 2026-05-05 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Previsão 62.39%1.60odd justa
EV -0.806%
Vantagem -0.507%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.84%62.49%62.19%64.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.74%65.36%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lucia Bronzetti (Visitante)

Previsão 37.61%2.66odd justa
EV +1.56%
Vantagem +0.577%
Kelly +0.916%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.71%37.51%37.81%39.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.80%40.00%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.56%E +0.577%K +0.916%G +0.014%3.7%2026-05-05 08:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.805%E +0.300%K +0.479%G +0.004%2.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.58%E -0.996%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:24
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -3.71%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 11:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 01:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:59
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 12:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 12:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 19:25
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.47%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 12:05
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 11:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-05 12:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25