L’École des cotes

McCartney Kessler v Lucia Bronzetti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Prévision 62.39%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.806%
Avantage -0.507%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.84%62.49%62.19%64.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.74%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lucia Bronzetti (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.61%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.916%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.71%37.51%37.81%39.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.80%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.56%E +0.577%K +0.916%G +0.014%3.7%2026-05-05 08:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.805%E +0.300%K +0.479%G +0.004%2.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.58%E -0.996%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:24
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -3.71%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 11:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 01:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:59
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 12:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 12:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 19:25
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.47%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 12:05
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-05 12:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25