مدرسة الاحتمالات

McCartney Kessler v Lucia Bronzetti

البداية: 2026-05-05 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

McCartney Kessler (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.39%1.60السعر العادل
EV -0.806%
الأفضلية -0.507%
Kelly -1.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.84%62.49%62.19%64.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.521.531.5968.97%65.74%65.36%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lucia Bronzetti (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.61%2.66السعر العادل
EV +1.56%
الأفضلية +0.577%
Kelly +0.916%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.71%37.51%37.81%39.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.512.502.7041.67%39.80%40.00%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.56%E +0.577%K +0.916%G +0.014%3.7%2026-05-05 08:40
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.805%E +0.300%K +0.479%G +0.004%2.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.20%E -0.848%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.58%E -0.996%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.15%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:24
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -3.71%E -1.45%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 11:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Fanatics1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.08%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 11:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:09
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 01:24
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:25
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 12:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:30
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:59
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 11:30
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 12:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.67%E -5.18%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.34%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 12:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 19:25
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -0.806%E -0.507%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.09%E -2.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:25
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.47%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 12:05
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 18:45
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 12:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 11:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-05 12:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25