Language:English
Karolina Pliskova v Jaqueline Cristian
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Pliskova (Local)
Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV +23.21%
Edge +8.50%
Kelly +13.42%
Growth +3.11%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.69%45.73%45.41%55.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.961.972.7359.17%50.95%50.76%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)
Prediction 54.87%1.82fair odd
EV +16.32%
Edge +7.70%
Kelly +14.57%
Growth +2.38%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.47%54.27%54.59%65.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.831.802.1268.97%54.68%55.56%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Pliskova (Local): 45.13%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 54.87%. For Karolina Pliskova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV +23.21%E +8.50%K +13.42%G +3.11% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -20.44%E -14.10%K -45.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +6.06%E +2.58%K +4.49%G +0.272% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.76%E -8.03%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +1.55%E +0.688%K +1.24%G +0.019% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.86%E -8.83%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 17:32 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -0.708%E -0.322%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -14.41%E -9.24%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 17:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.02%E -6.11%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -0.141%E -0.078%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -11.54%E -5.89%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.24%E -0.688%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -1.79%E -0.999%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -2.88%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -13.35%E -6.95%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -3.43%E -1.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -13.80%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -14.70%E -7.78%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV +4.80%E +2.51%K +5.27%G +0.253% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -15.60%E -8.34%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +3.15%E +1.68%K +3.58%G +0.113% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -17.41%E -9.51%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -18.76%E -10.42%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -0.690%E -0.381%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 17:27 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -19.66%E -11.05%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +9.73%E +4.87%K +9.73%G +0.948% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 17:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -20.12%E -11.36%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV +11.38%E +5.61%K +11.05%G +1.26% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -21.02%E -12.01%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +6.99%E +3.59%K +7.36%G +0.515% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +16.32%E +7.70%K +14.57%G +2.38% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 17:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV +14.67%E +7.02%K +13.46%G +1.98% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 17:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -21.47%E -12.34%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -21.92%E -12.67%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 17:17 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -22.37%E -13.01%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +15.22%E +7.25%K +13.84%G +2.11% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -22.82%E -13.35%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV +13.58%E +6.56%K +12.69%G +1.72% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -23.27%E -13.69%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +12.48%E +6.09%K +11.88%G +1.48% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -23.73%E -14.04%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV +15.77%E +7.47%K +14.21%G +2.24% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.38% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 17:34 |